So,
after spending $millions$ to study just how screwed up we are, by
thinking it was feasible to truck LNG from Prudhoe Bay to Fairbanks,
well the cat is out of the bag. Yes, this project defiantly lived on
through the 9-lives theory,
when finally it went exhausted and now keeled over. Look, how many
accidents on the Dalton, just this
winter? And when
you traffic jam that road with an
additional
“Dirty Dozen
Ice Road”
cowboy trucks heading back and forth with
35-thousand pound bombs attached,
may as well set-up a toll booth – so we could at least re-coup the
researching for this non-feasible project that
was DOA since inception. What we need is a contraceptive, for the
legislature down in Juneau that approves this crap. If
we designed a
scale that
calculated the
state's project management IQ based on the projects that have wasted
good money, well it would be a sad outcome! Who
in hell makes these decisions, to waste money on projects like this –
no banks would entertain such
ludicrous ideas,
so it comes from...drum roll please, good old AIDEA. Yes, the Alaska
Idiots
Donating
Everything
Away
have
once again proved its “mission accomplished”
is a statement
consistent with
“FAILURE”,
after the
robbery is successful.
So we hear today that the LNG
trucking project
has been placed on hold, due many piss poor
excuses. The sad
thing, when somebody came up with this bright “lights-out” idea
some 3-years ago, those in the know laughed and laughed and are still
laughing – but it is no laughing matter now that the state is
facing a fiscal meltdown – the price of crude oil is still
crashing! But
here it is in a nutshell. It all has too do with “Gas Sales
Agreements” arranged between the sellers and the buyers of
the natural gas.
Even though we own the natural
gas that would
be used for this project, it has been hijacked by “Big Oil” and
they aren't about to give it up on the cheap – as they have
invested all whole lot in the infrastructure up north and
utilize every damn drop of that gas – for oil recovery.
So when they are
forced to sell it, there exists some pretty rigid guidelines, as that
gas must be processed by “Big Oil's” equipment and that comes at
a cost. When
crude oil was surfing at about a $100 a barrel, all was good. See,
the formula for how gas is sold is very complicated, takes all kinds
of things into consideration
– like profit margins and that
processing cost
along with
delivery, as it takes a pump which takes electricity which takes
maintenance...So
before the crude oil “wipe-out”, selling gas to outfits like
Norgasco – a private entity that buys natural gas from EXXON and
ARCO for transport
to keep Deadhorse warm – the
price of natural
gas was
earmarked
to
the price of crude oil based
on energy content.
Now when crude oil dropped to $80, the profit margins for “Big Oil”
started to disappear, but still above what is called the “Hernia
Rub“, the bellwether of all natural gas. Even though we are not
part of the contiguous lower-48, for some reason they still control
us with respect to natural gas indexing. Now when oil rested at
$56 on the “Night
before Christmas” and
all was quiet at Governor Bill's house,
all realizable
profits were
lost and the oil companies were practically giving it away. Not good.
So with the “Sky Falling” and no stability in sight for crude oil
pricing, there won't be any “Gas Sales Agreements” that make
sense, and here's the ticket as
too why the times are not good for negotiating. It
is called “Force Majeure”
which has already been used here in Alaska, to renege
on contracts. Yes, one day Aurora Natural Gas decided it wasn't going
to sell gas to “Large Consumers” in and around Anchorage – like
for the schools. It was November, and cold, so Enstar had to step in
and come to the rescue. Which was a “Good Samaritan” gesture
until they tried to rob the little guys into paying for gas purchased
to cover Aurora's cry baby attitude. See,
Enstar had to buy “premium” and tried to sock-it-to-us and did
get caught, and we were reimbursed. But
precedence has been set, as an easy way out for crooks. When
a business finds that what it is delivering crashes with respect to
profit margins, it can declare this “Force
Majeure”,
which basically lets it off the hook. So even though the current
crude oil “crash”
is lowering the price of natural gas which means with the trickle
down spout the cost to sell it in Fairbanks would also find
reasonableness – it doesn't work that way as
it is all built on “Profits” and today that has evaporated! And
if you can't buy natural gas, what good is a project like was
sanctioned by AIDEA – except to do a good job at managing “Wanton
Waste” to the benefit of the crooks!
Thursday, January 1, 2015
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