Egypt – A Bush Doctrine Failure
Here we go again, “Mission Accomplished”. So Obama's foreign policy is being slam dunked for the Egyptian uproar? But before the blame game takes root and punishes the innocent, let's dissect the past to see wherein this country has been weak upon the state of affairs in the Kingdom of Mubarak.
June 21, 2005 PNAC Response
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice’s speech yesterday at the American University in Cairo was a remarkably impressive speech. Indeed, diplomatic historians may some day put it in the league with Secretary George Marshall’s speech at Harvard announcing the Truman administration’s Marshall Plan. Calling on Egypt and its president, Hosni Mubarak, to lead the way in moving his country and, indeed, the region toward the establishment of constitutional and liberal democracy, Secretary Rice laid down a series of markers for Egypt’s president and his government to fulfill their promise of democratic change. Egypt’s presidential and parliamentary elections “must meet objective standards that define every free election.” To wit:
- Opposition groups must be free to assemble and have access to the media.
- Voting must be free of violence and intimidation.
- International election monitors and observers must have unrestricted access to do their jobs.
But, for this to happen, the Bush administration will have to insist on the immediate establishment of an international observer organization to oversee the monitoring of these key components of a free and fair election. The administration will also have to insist that the opposition has funds to operate on, since in a closed political society – like Egypt’s – the government dominates everything. The key point here is that a free election doesn’t occur on Election Day, but results from a process that extends throughout a campaign. With both parliamentary and presidential elections occurring this fall, the effort must begin today. If the Egyptian government is serious about democratic reforms, they shouldn’t object to these steps. And, if the administration is serious, they should not object to pushing for them.
Secretary Rice’s speech is potentially a milestone in the President’s policy of attempting to spread democracy in the Middle East. But the true test of the speech’s impact will rest on whether the practical steps outlined above are taken.
May 10, 2005 PNAC Response
According to press reports, Egypt’s parliament is likely to pass a constitutional amendment today that would allow opposition figures to run for president. This apparent democratic breakthrough, however, is undermined by the amendment’s stipulation that to be placed on a presidential ballot a candidate would need the approval of 300 members from various “elected” Egyptian government bodies – bodies now under the control of the sitting president, Hosni Mubarak.
The decision by Egypt to take this half measure is the result of pressure put on President Mubarak by President Bush and Secretary of State Rice. But it is only a half measure, and one that will lead to even more frustration and political instability in Egypt if it remains so. Administration officials and members of Congress would do well to send President Mubarak and his government a signal that American foreign aid (currently about $2 billion/year) is contingent on their doing more to open up the Egyptian political process.
Some are concerned that a truly open election will encourage the likes of the Muslim Brotherhood. We agree that is a concern. But, unless we expect Mubarak and his son to hold on to power indefinitely – despite all the corruption, dysfunctionalism, and anger his rule engenders in Egypt itself – this is a risk supporters of democracy must take. And this risk is more manageable now in the context of progress toward democracy rather than later, in the context of increased popular resentment and civic frustration.
With that, I believe that what we are seeing today is a fallout failure of the Bush Doctrine. It is that simple. That doctrine is starting to come apart at the seams. Iraq, a failure. Afghanistan, a failure. And now Egypt. Bush knew about the problems in Egypt during his 2nd reign of terror, and did nothing. Bush had 8 years of endangerment to get it right, but nothing accomplished. And have we heard anything from Condoleezza? NO, as silence is golden for those who now sense failure. So even though the Bush administration realized what was at at stake this regime, it is typical of “mission accomplished” when nothing was accomplished towards the good of Democracy. Therefore, it is unrealistic to pick on Obama, as past presidents set in concrete foreign policy for the future. Look, this uprising in Egypt didn't come about overnight. This was realized in 2005, when Bush had how many more years at the helm? Yet Mubarak continued to receive aid from the U.S. Taxpayers - some $2-billion each year - and did nothing but dish out fat checks to silence his goon squad and what was leftover, hidden away in some offshore bank account. But there is another bothering situation at hand that needs further dissecting. The entire world was warned that Mubarak was to step down. This allowed a sense of relief for Democracy, that it can work “By the People, For the People”. Our own secret intelligence said it was so, with Mubarak's impeachment. Our military leaders gathered the same intelligence. The Egyptian army broadcast the same, to the protesters! Is this another “yellow cake” fake out? It appears to be, as Mubarak didn't step-down, not yet. Here it is in a nutshell. When Hosni finally decides to give it up, he will find freedom in Saudi Arabia. Let's face the facts, there is a plan in effect. And most likely then not, it is PNAC - Project for the New American Century - that is behind this scene trying to manipulate the outcome in Egypt. This organization, possibly with underground government intelligence backing, finds secret control and influence in the United States - as its membership has zillions of dollars in loot. See, even though this “also” dysfunctional organization believes in Democracy throughout the world, they believe in a different kind, American democracy that is forced upon nations through the mighty hand of the U.S. military. That my fellow man is this organization's secret mission and weapon. And the old American warlords – the “Master's of War” that “Build to Destroy” – many are bonafide members of this influential organization. I am talking Cheney, Jeb Bush, George Bush, Don Rumsfeld and on and on and on. And just so happens, CPAC - Cowards Promoting Armageddon like Control - it was meeting when all “peace” was about to break loose in Egypt, with Mubarak's departure. And it was at this meeting that Rumsfeld received “Defender of the Constitution” award, for bravery? So the old warlords are not worn out, just getting together to continue placing this country's image and mission in jeopardy with respect to “Democracy”. They need to retire and go away. But they failed to achieve their goals, of democratizing the entire world, their way. So it turns to “demoralizing” efforts. So until death do they part, we will see weird things taking hold upon rational diplomacy, especially attacks upon the Obama administration. So I am suspect, that what is going on today, the changing tide wherein Hosni is not giving up, it is influence from PNAC and CPAC. Hey, relief is just a phone call away nowadays. So somebody pulled some strings and know we see the possibility of all hell breaking loose, as Mubaruk insists that he will die in Egypt. Some kind of secret deal has been launched. And wasn't it pathetic that Egyptian Vice President and Mubarak's confidant Suleiman, he told the protesters to go home and asked that parents to come and get their kids, like this was a preschool game? Anyway, somebody pulled some strings at the last minute in efforts for Hosni to change his mind. Call it a conspiracy theory, so what. The fact of the matter, many in the know people could not have been so wrong this time around! It goes to reason that PNAC and CPAC came involved. Why? What we are witnessing in Egypt is Democracy by the 1st Amendment, wherein PNAC's mission statement is adamant of Democracy through the 2nd! This is pie in the face of forced democracy advocates. See, when PNAC was powerful and so close to taking over the U.S. Constitution's wellbeing, it believed that America was the most powerful nation and now was the time to control the world. They fought with Clinton to increase beyond belief the military budget, so we could be ready and willing to invade the universe, that is how the rich with nothing else to do think. When Clinton laughed, they set in motion a puppet government movement, thus the Bush years have become history. Under the pathetic chapter. PNAC was engaged heavily in what went on in Iraq, and we see there also another failure. It is simple, we cannot force anything on anybody! So somebody made a call to Hosni, gave him assurances of a safe haven in Saudi, the House of Thugs, and told him to hang in, so this situation would most likely provide a different out come, as PNAC has also in its target, Obama. Look Mitch “Little Hitler” McConnell was also at the CPAC luncheon. Doesn't he have a job? And he makes speeches wherein his main objective as a Terrorist Senator is to make sure Obama doesn't get another term at the helm. Anyway, time will tell the true outcome in Egypt. But the Obama administration should convene a panel to investigate what went wrong with the intelligence community and with that maybe a thread into what the Cheney's and Rumsfeld's were doing to further incite riots in another's homeland. It is “occupying” by a different nature, and rotten to the core for true Democracy.
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